UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Jun 2016
Welterweight
VS
75%
Strickland
25%
Breese
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Strickland
Strickland is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Breese has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Breese has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Strickland's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Breese has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Strickland
Breese
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"+
Reach
73"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Strickland
Breese
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
19.7
50.9
Performance Avg
56.8
37
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
46
Strickland
Breese
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
13
3
Body
5
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance18
3Clinch0
4Ground0
Strickland
Breese
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strickland
Breese
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/38 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Strickland
Breese
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Strickland
Breese
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Strickland
Breese
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
StricklandBreese
Strike Zones
Strickland
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedBreese
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Strickland targets the head (86% of attacks) — Breese absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Breese targets the head (72% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Strickland
RND
Breese
0/0R00/0
Strickland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Breese · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Strickland · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 6.4Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Breese · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Omari AkhmedovRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
KB BhullarRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
L · KO · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Daniel KellyRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06