METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Jun 2016
Welterweight
VS
75%
Strickland
25%
Breese
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sean StricklandwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tom Breese · UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Strickland
→
Actual result
Strickland wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Strickland is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Breese has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Strickland's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Breese has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StricklandBreese
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Strickland
Breese
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"+
Reach
73"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Strickland
Breese
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
19.7
50.9
Performance Avg
56.8
37
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
46
Strickland
Breese
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
9.3
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
7.5
6.8
Style: Volume
2.9
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
13
3
Body
5
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance18
3Clinch0
4Ground0
Strickland
Breese
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strickland
Breese
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/38 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Strickland
Breese
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Strickland
Breese
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Strickland
Breese
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
StricklandBreese
Strike Zones
Strickland
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedBreese
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Strickland targets the head (86% of attacks) — Breese absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Breese targets the head (72% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Strickland
RND
Breese
0/0R00/0
Strickland · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevDecision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Breese · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Omari AkhmedovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
KB BhullarKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
L · KO · R1
Brendan AllenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Daniel KellyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandDecision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06