UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
Auburn Hills, USA
20 Nov 2010
Lightweight
VS
51%
Sotiropoulos
49%
Lauzon
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:43
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sotiropoulos
This is a genuine toss-up — Sotiropoulos at 51% vs Lauzon at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lauzon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sotiropoulos's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lauzon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sotiropoulos
Lauzon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
48
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sotiropoulos
Lauzon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
17.7
51.8
Performance Avg
51.5
44
Quality of Victory
49
51
Momentum Score
59
Sotiropoulos
Lauzon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
28%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance1
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Sotiropoulos
Lauzon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sotiropoulos
Lauzon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/21 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Sotiropoulos
Lauzon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
59
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Sotiropoulos
Lauzon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
7
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sotiropoulos
Lauzon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.7
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
SotiropoulosLauzon
Strike Zones
Sotiropoulos
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLauzon
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sotiropoulos targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Lauzon targets the body (100% of attacks) — Sotiropoulos absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sotiropoulos
RND
Lauzon
0/0R00/0
Sotiropoulos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Lauzon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Sotiropoulos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
KJ NoonsRating 5.5Decision
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
L · KO · R3
Ross PearsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Sub · R2
Joe LauzonRating 5.2Submission
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
Lauzon · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01