UFC 88: Breakthrough
Atlanta, USA
6 Sept 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
41%
Evans
59%
Liddell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:51
RE
Rashad Evans
"Suga"
198
6'0"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
CL
Chuck Liddell
"The Iceman"
218
Striker3-fight slide56 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Liddell

This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 41% vs Liddell at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Liddell throws more volume but Evans connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Liddell has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Evans
Liddell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+76"
46+
Age
56
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Liddell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
22.1
53.1
Performance Avg
61.2
46
Quality of Victory
56
25
Momentum Score
100
Evans
Liddell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Evans
Liddell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.9
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Evans
Liddell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
23/29 fights
Evans
Liddell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Evans
Liddell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
56%
6
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Evans
Liddell
Striking5.6 / 7.0Volume5.8 / 4.4Grappling1.4 / 0.9Wrestling1.0 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.9 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Evans
Strike Zones
Liddell
Evans
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Liddell
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (100% of attacks) — Liddell absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Liddell targets the head (33% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Evans
RND
Liddell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Evans · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.2W2.1L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W7.3L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L1.9L5.5L5.5L2.7L2005-112008-092012-012016-042018-06
WinLossTrend

Liddell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0104.0W1.5L4.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.0W5.0W5.4W5.1W5.0W5.2W1.5L5.5L4.5W2.8L1.5L1.5L1998-052002-012005-042007-092010-06
WinLossTrend

Evans · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10

Liddell · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Rich FranklinRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
W · Dec · R3
Wanderlei SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · Dec · R3
Keith JardineRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 76: Knockout · 2007-09

News & Media

Rashad Evans · Chuck Liddell
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