UFC 88: Breakthrough
Atlanta, USA
6 Sept 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
41%
Evans
59%
Liddell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:51
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Liddell
This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 41% vs Liddell at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Liddell throws more volume but Evans connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Liddell has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Evans
Liddell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+76"
46+
Age
56
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Liddell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
22.1
53.1
Performance Avg
61.2
46
Quality of Victory
56
25
Momentum Score
100
Evans
Liddell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Evans
Liddell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.9
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Evans
Liddell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
23/29 fights
Evans
Liddell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Evans
Liddell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
56%
6
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evans
Liddell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
EvansLiddell
Strike Zones
Evans
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedLiddell
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (100% of attacks) — Liddell absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Liddell targets the head (33% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evans
RND
Liddell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Evans · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Liddell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Evans · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
Liddell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Rich FranklinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
W · Dec · R3
Wanderlei SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · Dec · R3
Keith JardineRating 5.5Decision
UFC 76: Knockout · 2007-09