UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
Anaheim, USA
17 Aug 2019
Middleweight
VS
30%
Romero
70%
Costa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
YR
Yoel Romero
"Soldier of God"
13 – 5
6'0"73" reachSouthpaw49 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 24
Paulo
Paulo Costa
"The Eraser"
16 – 4
Striker2-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'1"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Costa

Costa is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Costa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Romero
Costa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"+
Reach
72"
49
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Romero
Costa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.0
55.3
56.4
Performance Avg
52.9
48
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
59
Romero
Costa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.9
56%
Strike Accuracy
59%
9.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.6
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
45
Head
24
3
Body
18
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
48Distance42
5Clinch2
0Ground0
Romero
Costa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Romero
Costa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/18 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Romero
Costa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Romero
Costa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
63%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Romero
Costa
Striking9.2 / 7.6Volume3.2 / 4.3Grappling0.5 / 0.9Wrestling0.4 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.5 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.6
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Romero
Strike Zones
Costa
Romero
Attacking
45HEAD3BODY5LEGS53 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD18BODY2LEGS44 absorbed
Costa
Attacking
24HEAD18BODY2LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
45HEAD3BODY5LEGS53 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Romero targets the head (85% of attacks) — Costa absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Costa targets the head (55% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Romero
RND
Costa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Romero · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W5.5W5.8W4.5W5.5W5.2W4.5W6.3W6.4L5.3W6.4L6.5L6.9L2013-042014-092017-072020-03
WinLossTrend

Costa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.2W5.2W5.2W4.5W3.5L6.3L4.5W6.4L6.6L5.5W7.4W2017-032018-072021-102024-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Romero · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R3
Luke RockholdRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07

Costa · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Azamat MurzakanovRating 7.4
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Luke RockholdRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

News & Media

Yoel Romero · Paulo Costa
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