METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Sydney, Australia
9 Sept 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
94%
Pedro
6%
Turkalj
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:12
★ Official Result
Tyson PedrowinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:12
def. Anton Turkalj · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pedro
→
Actual result
Pedro wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Pedro is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pedro has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 58 points.
Risk flags
Pedro's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turkalj has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PedroTurkalj
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pedro
Turkalj
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
79"+
Reach
78"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pedro
Turkalj
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.3
3.0
56.6
Performance Avg
0.0
58
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Pedro
Turkalj
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.6
Style: Pressure
0.0
1.1
Style: Volume
0.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
1
Body
1
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance6
0Clinch2
1Ground0
Pedro
Turkalj
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pedro
Turkalj
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
42
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Pedro
Turkalj
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Pedro
Turkalj
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pedro
Turkalj
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PedroTurkalj
Strike Zones
Pedro
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTurkalj
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pedro targets the head (75% of attacks) — Turkalj absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Turkalj targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Pedro absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pedro
RND
Turkalj
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pedro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Anton TurkaljKO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasDecision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Harry HunsuckerKO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · KO · R1
Ike VillanuevaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
Turkalj · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Ibo AslanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Tyson PedroKO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaSubmission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09