UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Manchester, United Kingdom
27 Jul 2024
Lightweight
VS
41%
Green
59%
Pimblett
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:22
King
King Green
35 – 17
5'10"71" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Paddy
Paddy Pimblett
"The Baddy"
23 – 4
Pressure Fighter31 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"
CFR 69

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pimblett

This is a genuine toss-up — Green at 41% vs Pimblett at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Green has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Green's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Green
Pimblett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
39
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Green
Pimblett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.0
69.2
45.9
Performance Avg
63.1
38
Quality of Victory
47
85
Momentum Score
85
Green
Pimblett
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.2
1.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
3
Body
0
10
Leg
6
RangeRange
15Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Green
Pimblett
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Green
Pimblett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/52 fights
Chin rating based on
9/27 fights
Green
Pimblett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
85
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Green
Pimblett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
71%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Green
Pimblett
Striking3.6 / 4.6Volume5.6 / 4.0Grappling2.9 / 4.1Wrestling2.0 / 2.9Submission1.9 / 4.3Pressure4.8 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Green
Strike Zones
Pimblett
Green
Attacking
2HEAD3BODY10LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY6LEGS8 absorbed
Pimblett
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY6LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD3BODY10LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Green targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Pimblett absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Pimblett targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Green absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Green
RND
Pimblett
0/0R00/0

Green · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.0L2.8L5.5L4.5W6.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.7L6.5L5.0W5.2W3.5L4.0L6.0W6.5W2.7L4.9W3.2L3.2L5.9W5.6W5.5W2013-022018-012021-082023-122026-05
WinLossTrend

Pimblett · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W5.0W6.7W4.9W5.0W5.7W6.0W7.1L2021-092022-072023-122025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Green · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R1
Paddy PimblettRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Pimblett · Last 5

Upcoming
Benoit Saint Denis
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R3
Michael ChandlerRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
King GreenRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonRating 5
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

News & Media

King Green · Paddy Pimblett
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