King Green vs Paddy Pimblett — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2

Manchester, United Kingdom

27 Jul 2024

Lightweight

42%

Green

58%

Pimblett

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 3:22

King Green

35 – 17

5'10"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 50

Paddy Pimblett

"The Baddy"

23 – 4

Pressure Fighter31 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"

CFR 70

★ Official Result

Paddy PimblettwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:22

def. King Green · UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Pimblett

→

Actual result

Pimblett wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Green at 42% vs Pimblett at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Green's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

GreenPimblett

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Green

Pimblett

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"

Height

5'10"

71"

Reach

+73"

Age

+31

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Green

Pimblett

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

50.1

70.2

47.2

Performance Avg

64.2

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Green

Pimblett

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.1

/ 10

4.3

/ 10

5.0

Style: Pressure

7.9

5.4

Style: Volume

3.8

5 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

15Distance8

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Green

Pimblett

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.7

/ 10

4.6

/ 10

1.9

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.2

1.8

Submission Style (/10)

5.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Green

Pimblett

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.2 stoppage

KO round context

—

5 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

32/52 fights

Chin rating based on

9/27 fights

Green

Pimblett

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

Upcoming

W · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

W · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R5

W · KO · R3

W · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

Green

Pimblett

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

47%

75%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Green

Pimblett

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.3

2.7

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.6

1.9

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.2

1.8

Submission

Submission attack frequency

5.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.9

5.4

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.8

Green

Strike Zones

Pimblett

Green

Attacking

15 landed

Absorbing

8 absorbed

Pimblett

Attacking

8 landed

Absorbing

15 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Green targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Pimblett absorbs 67% of strikes there

🎯Pimblett targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Green absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Green

RND

Pimblett

0/0R00/0

Green · Last 5

Upcoming

Esteban Ribovics

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

W · KO · R1

Terrance McKinney

KO/TKO

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

W · Sub · R1

Jeremy Stephens

Submission

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05

W · KO · R2

Daniel Zellhuber

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

W · Dec · R3

Lance Gibson Jr.

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

Pimblett · Last 5

W · Sub · R1

Benoit Saint Denis

Submission

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

L · Dec · R5

Justin Gaethje

Decision

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01

W · KO · R3

Michael Chandler

KO/TKO

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04

W · Sub · R1

King Green

Submission

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

W · Dec · R3

Tony Ferguson

Decision

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

News & Media

King Green · Paddy Pimblett

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