UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Dublin, Ireland
24 Oct 2015
Middleweight
VS
48%
Askham
52%
Jotko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SA
Scott Askham
14 – 4
6'3"75" reachSouthpaw38 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 21
KJ
Krzysztof Jotko
24 – 6
Well-Rounded36 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'1"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jotko

This is a genuine toss-up — Askham at 48% vs Jotko at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Askham has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.

Askham has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jotko has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Askham
Jotko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+77"
38
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Askham
Jotko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
22.7
49.3
Performance Avg
42.8
60
Quality of Victory
28
59
Momentum Score
60
Askham
Jotko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
38%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
2
Body
4
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance7
3Clinch3
0Ground0
Askham
Jotko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Askham
Jotko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
28
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
17/30 fights
Askham
Jotko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
60
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Askham
Jotko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
9%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Askham
Jotko
Striking10.0 / 2.2Volume0.7 / 8.6Grappling0.0 / 2.2Wrestling0.0 / 1.5Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
Askham
Strike Zones
Jotko
Askham
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY4LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Jotko
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY4LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Askham targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Jotko absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Jotko targets the head (60% of attacks) — Askham absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Askham
RND
Jotko
0/0R00/0

Askham · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W6.4L5.5L2014-102015-062015-102016-022016-092017-03
WinLossTrend

Jotko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.0L4.5W4.5W5.3W6.6L4.5W5.6W2.8L2013-122016-062019-042022-042022-10
WinLossTrend

Askham · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad ScottRating 5.5
Decision
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Jack HermanssonRating 6.4
Decision
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W · KO · R1
Chris DempseyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio Dos SantosRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06

Jotko · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8
Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Misha CirkunovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 5.3
Decision
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News & Media

Scott Askham · Krzysztof Jotko
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