UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
Las Vegas, USA
27 Sept 2014
Middleweight
VS
43%
Kennedy
57%
Romero
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:58
TK
Tim Kennedy
18 – 6
5'11"74" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
YR
Yoel Romero
"Soldier of God"
13 – 5
Knockout Artist3-fight slide49 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'0"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Romero

This is a genuine toss-up — Kennedy at 43% vs Romero at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Romero has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Kennedy's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Kennedy
Romero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"+
Reach
73"
46+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Kennedy
Romero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.9
24.0
48.0
Performance Avg
56.4
40
Quality of Victory
48
70
Momentum Score
100
Kennedy
Romero
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
56%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
17
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance6
0Clinch3
0Ground9
Kennedy
Romero
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kennedy
Romero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
92
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/24 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Kennedy
Romero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Kennedy
Romero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
78%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kennedy
Romero
Striking4.5 / 9.2Volume6.5 / 3.2Grappling1.6 / 0.5Wrestling1.1 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Kennedy
Strike Zones
Romero
Kennedy
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD0BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Romero
Attacking
17HEAD0BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kennedy targets the body (100% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Romero targets the head (94% of attacks) — Kennedy absorbs 94% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kennedy
RND
Romero
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Kennedy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W4.5W4.0L4.3L2013-072013-112014-042014-092016-12
WinLossTrend

Romero · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W5.5W5.8W4.5W5.5W5.2W4.5W6.3W6.4L5.3W6.4L6.5L6.9L2013-042014-092017-072020-03
WinLossTrend

Kennedy · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
W · Dec · R5
Michael BispingRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Roger GracieRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07

Romero · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R3
Luke RockholdRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07

News & Media

Tim Kennedy · Yoel Romero
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