METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
Las Vegas, USA
27 Sept 2014
Middleweight
VS
43%
Kennedy
57%
Romero
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:58
★ Official Result
Yoel RomerowinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:58
def. Tim Kennedy · UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Romero
→
Actual result
Romero wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kennedy at 43% vs Romero at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Kennedy's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KennedyRomero
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kennedy
Romero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"+
Reach
73"
47+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Kennedy
Romero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.9
24.0
48.0
Performance Avg
56.4
40
Quality of Victory
48
70
Momentum Score
100
Kennedy
Romero
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
9.2
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
7.5
6.5
Style: Volume
3.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
17
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance6
0Clinch3
0Ground9
Kennedy
Romero
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kennedy
Romero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
92
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/24 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Kennedy
Romero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Kennedy
Romero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
78%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kennedy
Romero
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
KennedyRomero
Strike Zones
Kennedy
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedRomero
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kennedy targets the body (100% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Romero targets the head (94% of attacks) — Kennedy absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kennedy
RND
Romero
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Kennedy · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Kelvin GastelumKO/TKO
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroKO/TKO
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
W · Dec · R5
Michael BispingDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Roger GracieDecision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
Romero · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Israel AdesanyaDecision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerDecision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R3
Luke RockholdKO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerDecision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07