METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
Las Vegas, USA
15 Aug 2020
Featherweight
VS
62%
Brown
38%
Chavez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DC
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Danny ChavezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. TJ Brown · UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Chavez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Brown holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Chavez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrownChavez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brown
Chavez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
67"
36+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Chavez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.8
17.0
34.0
Performance Avg
28.3
32
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
33
Brown
Chavez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
1.0
6.1
Style: Volume
8.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
6
4
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance9
5Clinch0
0Ground3
Brown
Chavez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Chavez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Brown
Chavez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Brown
Chavez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Chavez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
BrownChavez
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedChavez
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (74% of attacks) — Chavez absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Chavez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Chavez
0/0R00/0
Brown · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Darren ElkinsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Sub · R2
Bill AlgeoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Sub · R3
Erik SilvaSubmission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Chavez · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Ricardo RamosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
Upcoming
Kai Kamaka IIIDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
TJ BrownDecision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08