METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
Las Vegas, USA
15 Aug 2020
Featherweight
VS
62%
Brown
38%
Chavez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DC
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Danny ChavezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. TJ Brown · UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Chavez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Brown holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Chavez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrownChavez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brown
Chavez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
67"
36+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Chavez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.8
17.0
34.0
Performance Avg
28.3
32
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
33
Brown
Chavez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
0.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
6
4
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance9
5Clinch0
0Ground3
Brown
Chavez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brown
Chavez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Brown
Chavez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Brown
Chavez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Chavez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
BrownChavez
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedChavez
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (74% of attacks) — Chavez absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Chavez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Chavez
0/0R00/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Chavez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 4.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Sub · R2
Bill AlgeoRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Sub · R3
Erik SilvaRating 5.5Submission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Chavez · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Ricardo RamosRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
Upcoming
Kai Kamaka IIIDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 4.5Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08