UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
Las Vegas, USA
15 Aug 2020
Featherweight
VS
62%
Brown
38%
Chavez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TB
TJ Brown
"Downtown"
17 – 11
5'9"72" reachSwitch36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 28
DC
Danny Chavez
"The Colombian Warrior"
11 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'8"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brown

Brown holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Chavez has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Brown's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brown
Chavez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
67"
36+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Chavez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.8
17.0
34.0
Performance Avg
28.3
32
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
33
Brown
Chavez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
6
4
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance9
5Clinch0
0Ground3
Brown
Chavez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brown
Chavez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Brown
Chavez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Brown
Chavez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brown
Chavez
Striking0.8 / 0.7Volume6.1 / 8.7Grappling4.3 / 2.4Wrestling3.0 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Brown
Strike Zones
Chavez
Brown
Attacking
14HEAD4BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY3LEGS12 absorbed
Chavez
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY3LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD4BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (74% of attacks) — Chavez absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Chavez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brown
RND
Chavez
0/0R00/0

Brown · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L5.5L4.6W4.5W5.8L5.5W3.0L4.5L2020-022021-052022-062023-042023-10
WinLossTrend

Chavez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W5.9L1.6L2020-082021-022022-06
WinLossTrend

Brown · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Sub · R2
Bill AlgeoRating 3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Sub · R3
Erik SilvaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

Chavez · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Ricardo RamosRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
Upcoming
Kai Kamaka III
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08

News & Media

TJ Brown · Danny Chavez
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