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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger
Omaha, USA
15 Feb 2012
Welterweight
VS
45%
Sanchez
55%
Ellenberger
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DS
Diego Sanchez
"Nightmare"
3113
5'10"72" reachSouthpaw44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
JE
Jake Ellenberger
"The Juggernaut"
3115
Well-Rounded4-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Jake EllenbergerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Diego Sanchez · UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ellenberger
Actual result
Ellenberger wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Sanchez at 45% vs Ellenberger at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Sanchez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ellenberger has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SanchezEllenberger
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Sanchez
Ellenberger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
71"
44
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Ellenberger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
15.7
46.0
Performance Avg
45.7
37
Quality of Victory
45
20
Momentum Score
56
Sanchez
Ellenberger
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
4.0
Style: Pressure
5.6
6.2
Style: Volume
3.4
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
13
2
Body
4
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance18
0Clinch2
2Ground0
Sanchez
Ellenberger
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sanchez
Ellenberger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
32/44 fights
Chin rating based on
21/46 fights
Sanchez
Ellenberger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
56
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Sanchez
Ellenberger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
32%
60%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
13
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sanchez
Ellenberger
Striking4.3 / 6.0Volume6.2 / 3.4Grappling1.5 / 1.5Wrestling1.1 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 1.0Pressure4.0 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Sanchez
Strike Zones
Ellenberger
Sanchez
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD4BODY3LEGS20 absorbed
Ellenberger
Attacking
13HEAD4BODY3LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (83% of attacks) — Ellenberger absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Ellenberger targets the head (65% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sanchez
RND
Ellenberger
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Sanchez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jake Matthews
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · R3
Michel Pereira
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael Chiesa
Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · KO · R2
Mickey Gall
KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Craig White
Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09

Ellenberger · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Bryan Barberena
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · KO · R1
Ben Saunders
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R2
Mike Perry
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · KO · R1
Jorge Masvidal
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Matt Brown
KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07

News & Media

Diego Sanchez · Jake Ellenberger
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