The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Johnson
46%
Fortuna
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JJ
Jordan Johnson
10 – 0
6'2"79" reachOrthodox37 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 23
MF
Marcel Fortuna
9 – 3
Knockout Artist2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 54% vs Fortuna at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Fortuna has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Fortuna has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Johnson
Fortuna
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
74"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Fortuna
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
19.8
58.7
Performance Avg
49.3
31
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
43
Johnson
Fortuna
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
10
0
Body
5
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance16
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Johnson
Fortuna
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Fortuna
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Johnson
Fortuna
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Johnson
Fortuna
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Fortuna
Striking2.0 / 10.0Volume8.0 / 0.7Grappling3.8 / 0.0Wrestling2.7 / 0.0Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Johnson
Strike Zones
Fortuna
Johnson
Attacking
15HEAD0BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD5BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Fortuna
Attacking
10HEAD5BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD0BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Fortuna absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Fortuna targets the head (59% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Fortuna
0/0R00/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W2017-012017-072018-032018-09
WinLossTrend

Fortuna · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.5L5.5L2017-022017-072017-11
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 4

W · Sub · R2
Adam YandievRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Adam MilsteadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Marcel FortunaRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Henrique da SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01

Fortuna · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Jordan JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
W · KO · R1
Anthony HamiltonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02

News & Media

Jordan Johnson · Marcel Fortuna
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