UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Jul 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
44%
Ribas
56%
Ricci
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ricci
This is a genuine toss-up — Ribas at 44% vs Ricci at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ribas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ribas's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ribas
Ricci
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'1"
66"+
Reach
61"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ribas
Ricci
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.5
48.5
43.3
Performance Avg
48.1
36
Quality of Victory
38
28
Momentum Score
53
Ribas
Ricci
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
38%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
15
0
Body
3
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance6
1Clinch4
0Ground10
Ribas
Ricci
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ribas
Ricci
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Ribas
Ricci
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
53
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ribas
Ricci
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
29%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ribas
Ricci
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
RibasRicci
Strike Zones
Ribas
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedRicci
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ribas targets the head (63% of attacks) — Ricci absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Ricci targets the head (75% of attacks) — Ribas absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ribas
RND
Ricci
0/0R00/0
Ribas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Ricci · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Ribas · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tabatha RicciRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · KO · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R2
Maycee BarberRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Ricci · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Amanda RibasRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

