UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
Barueri, Brazil
9 Oct 2013
Welterweight
VS
63%
Cabral
37%
Mitchell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
YC
Yan Cabral
13 – 3
5'11"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
DM
David Mitchell
"Daudi"
22 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 8

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cabral

Cabral holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Mitchell has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Cabral has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Mitchell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Cabral
Mitchell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cabral
Mitchell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
8.4
38.3
Performance Avg
23.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
30
Momentum Score
15
Cabral
Mitchell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
0.6
28%
Strike Accuracy
35%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch1
3Ground0
Cabral
Mitchell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cabral
Mitchell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
5/29 fights
Cabral
Mitchell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Cabral
Mitchell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cabral
Mitchell
Striking0.8 / 0.4Volume4.8 / 8.4Grappling5.2 / 2.4Wrestling3.6 / 1.7Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 0.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
Cabral
Strike Zones
Mitchell
Cabral
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Mitchell
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cabral targets the head (75% of attacks) — Mitchell absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Mitchell targets the head (67% of attacks) — Cabral absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cabral
RND
Mitchell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cabral · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.9L5.2W5.5L4.0L2013-102014-052014-102015-112016-05
WinLossTrend

Mitchell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.5L2010-092011-082013-012013-072013-10
WinLossTrend

Cabral · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Johnny CaseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · Sub · R2
Naoyuki KotaniRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
David MitchellRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10

Mitchell · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Yan CabralRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R2
Mike PierceRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Simeon ThoresenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
Paulo ThiagoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
TJ WaldburgerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09

News & Media

Yan Cabral · David Mitchell
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