METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2015
Middleweight
VS
39%
Theodorou
61%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thiago SantoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Elias Theodorou · UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Theodorou has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TheodorouSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Theodorou
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+76"
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Theodorou
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
32.2
52.0
Performance Avg
54.0
38
Quality of Victory
51
80
Momentum Score
91
Theodorou
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
11
2
Body
9
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
2Clinch15
0Ground1
Theodorou
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Theodorou
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
24/33 fights
Theodorou
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
91
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Theodorou
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
79%
2
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Theodorou
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
TheodorouSantos
Strike Zones
Theodorou
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedSantos
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Theodorou targets the body (67% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (55% of attacks) — Theodorou absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Theodorou
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Theodorou · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Theodorou · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 5.3Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11