UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2015
Middleweight
VS
39%
Theodorou
61%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ET
Elias Theodorou
"The Spartan"
16 – 3
6'1"75" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
TS
Thiago Santos
"Marreta"
22 – 11
Knockout Artist2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Santos

Santos holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Theodorou has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Theodorou
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+76"
37+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Theodorou
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
32.2
52.0
Performance Avg
54.0
38
Quality of Victory
51
80
Momentum Score
91
Theodorou
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
11
2
Body
9
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
2Clinch15
0Ground1
Theodorou
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Theodorou
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
24/33 fights
Theodorou
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
91
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Theodorou
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
79%
2
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Theodorou
Santos
Striking4.0 / 9.0Volume7.5 / 2.9Grappling1.8 / 0.5Wrestling1.3 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Theodorou
Strike Zones
Santos
Theodorou
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD9BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
11HEAD9BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Theodorou targets the body (67% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (55% of attacks) — Theodorou absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Theodorou
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0

Theodorou · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W4.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.3W5.8L2014-042015-122017-072018-122019-05
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.2W6.3W5.9W6.4W1.5L5.1W6.0W5.2W5.8W7.3L3.1L5.6L5.3W7.0L4.6L2013-082016-052018-022019-072022-08
WinLossTrend

Theodorou · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11

News & Media

Elias Theodorou · Thiago Santos
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