METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC 12: Judgement Day
Dothan, USA
7 Feb 1997
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Coleman
49%
Severn
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:57
MC
Mark Coleman
"The Hammer"
16 – 10
6'1"75" reachOrthodox61 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 23
DS
Dan Severn
"The Beast"
101 – 19
Well-Rounded2-fight slide68 yrsSouthpaw6'2"
CFR 22
★ Official Result
Mark ColemanwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:57
def. Dan Severn · UFC 12: Judgement Day

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Coleman
→
Actual result
Coleman wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Coleman at 51% vs Severn at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Coleman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Coleman's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Severn has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ColemanSevern
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Coleman
Severn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
61+
Age
68
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Coleman
Severn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.9
22.1
60.5
Performance Avg
66.1
62
Quality of Victory
64
84
Momentum Score
65
Coleman
Severn
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.2
61%
Strike Accuracy
59%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Coleman
Severn
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.6
3
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Coleman
Severn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/26 fights
Chin rating based on
13/120 fights
Coleman
Severn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
65
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R2
W · Dec · R1
Coleman
Severn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
56%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
5
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Coleman
Severn
Striking5.5 / 1.4Volume2.3 / 4.0Grappling3.8 / 5.2Wrestling2.6 / 3.7Submission4.3 / 5.6Pressure7.8 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Coleman
Strike Zones
Severn
Coleman
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Severn
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Coleman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Severn absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Severn targets the head (100% of attacks) — Coleman absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Coleman
RND
Severn
0/0R00/0

Coleman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L2.8L4.8L4.0L4.5W2.8L1996-071996-091997-072009-012010-02
WinLossTrend

Severn · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W4.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W4.0W4.2W4.5W1.5L1.5L1994-121995-041995-122000-09
WinLossTrend

Coleman · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Randy CoutureRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · KO · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Dec · R2
Pedro RizzoRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title · 1999-01
L · KO · R2
Pete WilliamsRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05

Severn · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Pedro RizzoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
L · Sub · R1
Mark ColemanRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 12: Judgement Day · 1997-02
W · Dec · R3
Ken ShamrockRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 9: Motor City Madness · 1996-05
W · Dec · R2
Oleg TaktarovRating 4.2
Decision
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '95 · 1995-12
W · Dec · R1
David AbbottRating 4
Decision
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '95 · 1995-12

News & Media

Mark Coleman · Dan Severn
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