METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC 12: Judgement Day
Dothan, USA
7 Feb 1997
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Coleman
49%
Severn
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:57
★ Official Result
Mark ColemanwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:57
def. Dan Severn · UFC 12: Judgement Day
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Coleman
→
Actual result
Coleman wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Coleman at 51% vs Severn at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Coleman's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Severn has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ColemanSevern
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Coleman
Severn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
61+
Age
68
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Coleman
Severn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.9
22.1
60.5
Performance Avg
66.1
62
Quality of Victory
64
84
Momentum Score
65
Coleman
Severn
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.5
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
6.0
2.3
Style: Volume
4.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Coleman
Severn
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.6
3
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Coleman
Severn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/26 fights
Chin rating based on
13/120 fights
Coleman
Severn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
65
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R2
W · Dec · R1
Coleman
Severn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
56%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
5
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Coleman
Severn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
ColemanSevern
Strike Zones
Coleman
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSevern
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Coleman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Severn absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Severn targets the head (100% of attacks) — Coleman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Coleman
RND
Severn
0/0R00/0
Coleman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Randy CoutureSubmission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarDecision
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · KO · R3
Mauricio RuaKO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Dec · R2
Pedro RizzoDecision
UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title · 1999-01
L · KO · R2
Pete WilliamsKO/TKO
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05
Severn · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Pedro RizzoKO/TKO
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
L · Sub · R1
Mark ColemanSubmission
UFC 12: Judgement Day · 1997-02
W · Dec · R3
Ken ShamrockDecision
UFC 9: Motor City Madness · 1996-05
W · Dec · R2
Oleg TaktarovDecision
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '95 · 1995-12
W · Dec · R1
David AbbottDecision
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '95 · 1995-12