UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2015
Welterweight
VS
74%
Roberts
26%
Coy
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:46
DR
Danny Roberts
"Hot Chocolate"
18 – 8
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
NC
Nathan Coy
"Soulforce"
15 – 7
Well-Rounded47 yrsSouthpaw69" reach5'10"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Roberts

Roberts is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Roberts has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Coy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Roberts's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Roberts
Coy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
69"
38+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Roberts
Coy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.8
11.3
45.6
Performance Avg
28.3
43
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
40
Roberts
Coy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.5
38%
Strike Accuracy
55%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
10
1
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance9
1Clinch0
0Ground2
Roberts
Coy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Roberts
Coy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
3/22 fights
Roberts
Coy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Roberts
Coy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Roberts
Coy
Striking5.3 / 0.7Volume4.4 / 8.7Grappling2.2 / 2.4Wrestling1.5 / 1.7Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Roberts
Strike Zones
Coy
Roberts
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Coy
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (50% of attacks) — Coy absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Coy targets the head (91% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 91% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Roberts
RND
Coy
0/0R00/0

Roberts · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W4.5W4.0L5.2W1.5L5.0W4.5W4.0L2.1L5.2W4.5W5.5L3.0L4.0L2015-122017-122019-052022-112023-07
WinLossTrend

Coy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.6
0101.5L4.5W1.9L2015-122016-022017-04
WinLossTrend

Roberts · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jonny ParsonsRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · KO · R2
Zelim ImadaevRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11

Coy · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Zak CummingsRating 1.9
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Jonavin WebbRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
L · Sub · R1
Danny RobertsRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12

News & Media

Danny Roberts · Nathan Coy
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