UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield
Las Vegas, USA
18 Feb 2023
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Parisian
52%
Pogues
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pogues
This is a genuine toss-up — Parisian at 48% vs Pogues at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Parisian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Parisian throws more volume but Pogues connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Parisian's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Parisian
Pogues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
77"
36
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Parisian
Pogues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
39.4
35.4
Performance Avg
35.0
40
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
50
Parisian
Pogues
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
15
6
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance13
0Clinch5
0Ground0
Parisian
Pogues
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Parisian
Pogues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Parisian
Pogues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Parisian
Pogues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Parisian
Pogues
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
ParisianPogues
Strike Zones
Parisian
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedPogues
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Parisian targets the head (50% of attacks) — Pogues absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Pogues targets the head (83% of attacks) — Parisian absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Parisian
RND
Pogues
0/0R00/0
Parisian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Pogues · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Parisian · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Robelis DespaigneRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Martin BudayRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Jamal PoguesRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · KO · R2
Alan BaudotRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
Pogues · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Hamdy AbdelwahabRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Josh ParisianRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02