UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2024
Middleweight
VS
60%
Duncan
40%
Ribeiro
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:57
Christian
Christian Leroy Duncan
"CLD"
14 – 2
6'2"79" reachSwitch30 yrs4-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 65
Claudio
Claudio Ribeiro
11 – 5
Knockout Artist2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Duncan

Duncan holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Ribeiro has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Duncan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ribeiro has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Duncan
Ribeiro
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
77"
30+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Duncan
Ribeiro
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.8
42.8
59.8
Performance Avg
43.0
48
Quality of Victory
55
72
Momentum Score
43
Duncan
Ribeiro
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
0.8
63%
Strike Accuracy
48%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
22Ground0
Duncan
Ribeiro
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Duncan
Ribeiro
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
34
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Duncan
Ribeiro
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
43
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Duncan
Ribeiro
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Duncan
Ribeiro
Striking8.7 / 10.0Volume3.8 / 0.5Grappling0.7 / 0.0Wrestling0.5 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.3 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Duncan
Strike Zones
Ribeiro
Duncan
Attacking
23HEAD0BODY1LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Ribeiro
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD0BODY1LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Duncan targets the head (96% of attacks) — Ribeiro absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Ribeiro targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Duncan absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Duncan
RND
Ribeiro
0/0R00/0

Duncan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0105.4W5.5L5.3W5.6W7.1L5.6W5.8W6.6W5.9W2023-032024-032025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Ribeiro · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.3L5.2W3.7L4.2L2023-012023-052023-072024-03
WinLossTrend

Duncan · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marco TulioRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Eryk AndersRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Andrey PulyaevRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Gregory RodriguesRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Ribeiro · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Roman KopylovRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Joseph HolmesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · KO · R2
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01

News & Media

Christian Leroy Duncan · Claudio Ribeiro
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