Christian Leroy Duncan vs Claudio Ribeiro — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev

Las Vegas, USA

2 Mar 2024

Middleweight

64%

Duncan

36%

Ribeiro

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 2 · 1:57

Christian Leroy Duncan

"CLD"

14 – 2

6'2"79" reachSwitch31 yrs5-fight win streakStriker

CFR 63

Claudio Ribeiro

11 – 5

Knockout Artist2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"

CFR 36

★ Official Result

Christian Leroy DuncanwinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:57

def. Claudio Ribeiro · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Duncan

→

Actual result

Duncan wins

KO/TKO · R2

Pre-fight analysis

Duncan holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Ribeiro has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ribeiro has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Risk flags

Ribeiro has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

DuncanRibeiro

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Duncan

Ribeiro

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"+

Height

6'1"

79"+

Reach

77"

31+

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

Duncan

Ribeiro

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

63.4

35.7

59.0

Performance Avg

43.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Duncan

Ribeiro

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.8

/ 10

10.0

/ 10

6.8

Style: Pressure

7.8

4.6

Style: Volume

0.5

5 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance1

0Clinch0

22Ground0

Duncan

Ribeiro

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.9

/ 10

0.0

/ 10

0.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Duncan

Ribeiro

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

11/16 fights

Chin rating based on

4/16 fights

Duncan

Ribeiro

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

5-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

Last 5

L · KO · R2

W · KO · R2

L · KO · R2

Duncan

Ribeiro

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

63%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Duncan

Ribeiro

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.8

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

10.0

0.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.0

0.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.8

4.6

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.5

Duncan

Strike Zones

Ribeiro

Duncan

Attacking

24 landed

Absorbing

1 absorbed

Ribeiro

Attacking

1 landed

Absorbing

24 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Duncan targets the head (96% of attacks) — Ribeiro absorbs 96% of strikes there

🎯Ribeiro targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Duncan absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Duncan

RND

Ribeiro

0/0R00/0

Duncan · Last 5

Upcoming

Brendan Allen

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10

W · Dec · R3

Jared Cannonier

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07

W · Dec · R3

Roman Dolidze

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03

W · KO · R2

Marco Tulio

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11

W · KO · R1

Eryk Anders

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08

Ribeiro · Last 4

L · KO · R2

Christian Leroy Duncan

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

L · KO · R2

Roman Kopylov

KO/TKO

UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07

W · KO · R2

Joseph Holmes

KO/TKO

UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

L · KO · R2

Abdul Razak Alhassan

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01

News & Media

Christian Leroy Duncan · Claudio Ribeiro

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