METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
27 Feb 2021
Lightweight
VS
57%
Hernandez
43%
Moises
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thiago MoiseswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alexander Hernandez · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hernandez
→
Actual result
Moises wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hernandez at 57% vs Moises at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Hernandez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moises has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HernandezMoises
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hernandez
Moises
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
70"
33
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hernandez
Moises
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
39.7
47.4
Performance Avg
42.7
42
Quality of Victory
38
90
Momentum Score
39
Hernandez
Moises
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
5.0
5.1
Style: Volume
5.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
16
5
Body
1
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance20
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hernandez
Moises
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hernandez
Moises
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
14
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/27 fights
Chin rating based on
16/29 fights
Hernandez
Moises
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
39
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Hernandez
Moises
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hernandez
Moises
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
HernandezMoises
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedMoises
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the head (36% of attacks) — Moises absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Moises targets the head (80% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hernandez
RND
Moises
0/0R00/0
Hernandez · Last 5
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