METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
Birmingham, United Kingdom
5 Nov 2011
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Cariaso
50%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chris CariasowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Vaughan Lee · UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cariaso
→
Actual result
Cariaso wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cariaso at 50% vs Lee at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lee has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cariaso's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lee has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CariasoLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cariaso
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+66"
45
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cariaso
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
13.9
39.1
Performance Avg
35.8
29
Quality of Victory
35
45
Momentum Score
51
Cariaso
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
46%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
5
6
Body
3
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance4
6Clinch7
11Ground0
Cariaso
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cariaso
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/25 fights
Chin rating based on
8/27 fights
Cariaso
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
51
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Cariaso
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cariaso
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
CariasoLee
Strike Zones
Cariaso
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedLee
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cariaso targets the head (70% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (45% of attacks) — Cariaso absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cariaso
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
Cariaso · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Lee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Cariaso · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 7Decision
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Demetrious JohnsonRating 2.1Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Louis SmolkaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
Lee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Paddy HolohanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Sub · R2
Raphael AssuncaoRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Dec · R3
Motonobu TezukaRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02