METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
Birmingham, United Kingdom
5 Nov 2011
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Cariaso
50%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chris CariasowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Vaughan Lee · UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cariaso
→
Actual result
Cariaso wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cariaso at 50% vs Lee at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Cariaso's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lee has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CariasoLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cariaso
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+66"
45
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cariaso
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
13.9
39.1
Performance Avg
35.8
29
Quality of Victory
35
45
Momentum Score
51
Cariaso
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
3.5
7.9
Style: Volume
6.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
5
6
Body
3
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance4
6Clinch7
11Ground0
Cariaso
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cariaso
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/25 fights
Chin rating based on
8/27 fights
Cariaso
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
51
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Cariaso
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cariaso
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
CariasoLee
Strike Zones
Cariaso
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedLee
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cariaso targets the head (70% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (45% of attacks) — Cariaso absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cariaso
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
Cariaso · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R2
Demetrious JohnsonSubmission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Louis SmolkaDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezDecision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
Lee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Paddy HolohanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Nam PhanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Sub · R2
Raphael AssuncaoSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Dec · R3
Motonobu TezukaDecision
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