UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
Birmingham, United Kingdom
5 Nov 2011
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Cariaso
50%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CC
Chris Cariaso
"Kamikaze"
17 – 8
5'3"64" reachSouthpaw44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
VL
Vaughan Lee
14 – 13
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cariaso

This is a genuine toss-up — Cariaso at 50% vs Lee at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lee has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cariaso's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lee has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cariaso
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+66"
44
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cariaso
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
13.9
39.1
Performance Avg
35.8
29
Quality of Victory
35
45
Momentum Score
51
Cariaso
Lee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
46%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
5
6
Body
3
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance4
6Clinch7
11Ground0
Cariaso
Lee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cariaso
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/25 fights
Chin rating based on
8/27 fights
Cariaso
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
51
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Cariaso
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cariaso
Lee
Striking2.5 / 0.8Volume7.9 / 6.1Grappling2.1 / 4.3Wrestling1.4 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure2.6 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Cariaso
Strike Zones
Lee
Cariaso
Attacking
19HEAD6BODY2LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Lee
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD6BODY2LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cariaso targets the head (70% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (45% of attacks) — Cariaso absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cariaso
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0

Cariaso · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W2.1L7.0L5.5L2011-012012-072014-022015-10
WinLossTrend

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.5L5.0W1.6L4.5W2.8L4.5W1.5L5.5L2011-112012-072013-062014-052015-07
WinLossTrend

Cariaso · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 7
Decision
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Demetrious JohnsonRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Louis SmolkaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

Lee · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Paddy HolohanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Sub · R2
Raphael AssuncaoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Dec · R3
Motonobu TezukaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02

News & Media

Chris Cariaso · Vaughan Lee
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