UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
Cincinnati, USA
10 May 2014
Lightweight
VS
55%
Koch
45%
Cruickshank
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:21
EK
Erik Koch
"Phoenix"
16 – 6
5'10"71" reachSouthpaw37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
DC
Daron Cruickshank
"Detroit Superstar"
18 – 10
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsSwitch72" reach5'8"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Koch

This is a genuine toss-up — Koch at 55% vs Cruickshank at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Cruickshank throws more volume but Koch connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Koch's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cruickshank has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Koch
Cruickshank
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
+72"
37+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Koch
Cruickshank
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
15.9
46.3
Performance Avg
44.5
44
Quality of Victory
41
84
Momentum Score
48
Koch
Cruickshank
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
37%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
21
1
Body
3
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground18
Koch
Cruickshank
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Koch
Cruickshank
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
48
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
13/28 fights
Koch
Cruickshank
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
48
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Koch
Cruickshank
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Koch
Cruickshank
Striking5.0 / 6.0Volume4.2 / 5.0Grappling2.6 / 1.2Wrestling1.8 / 0.8Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure5.7 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Koch
Strike Zones
Cruickshank
Koch
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY4LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Cruickshank
Attacking
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY4LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Koch targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Cruickshank absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Cruickshank targets the head (88% of attacks) — Koch absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Koch
RND
Cruickshank
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Koch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W4.5W2.8L6.8L5.0W1.5L5.2W6.0L6.2L4.5W2011-032013-082016-052019-07
WinLossTrend

Cruickshank · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W3.7L1.5L4.0L2012-062013-072014-052015-032016-01
WinLossTrend

Koch · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Kyle StewartRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Shane CampbellRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Daron CruickshankRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05

Cruickshank · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Paul FelderRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
James KrauseRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · Sub · R2
Beneil DariushRating 3.7
Submission
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
Upcoming
KJ Noons
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12
W · Dec · R3
Anthony NjokuaniRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

News & Media

Erik Koch · Daron Cruickshank
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