UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
London, United Kingdom
21 Mar 2026
Lightweight
VS
47%
Jones
53%
Sola
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Mason
Mason Jones
"The Dragon"
18 – 2
5'10"74" reachOrthodox31 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Axel
Axel Sola
11 – 1
Knockout Artist28 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 62

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sola

This is a genuine toss-up — Jones at 47% vs Sola at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sola has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Striking split: Jones throws more volume but Sola connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Jones
Sola
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
31
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jones
Sola
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.0
61.5
46.2
Performance Avg
50.0
33
Quality of Victory
50
80
Momentum Score
71
Jones
Sola
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
22
20
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
37Distance25
20Clinch3
1Ground0
Jones
Sola
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jones
Sola
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Jones
Sola
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
71
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Jones
Sola
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jones
Sola
Striking3.8 / 10.0Volume7.3 / 1.0Grappling1.8 / 0.0Wrestling1.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Jones
Strike Zones
Sola
Jones
Attacking
38HEAD20BODY0LEGS58 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD6BODY0LEGS28 absorbed
Sola
Attacking
22HEAD6BODY0LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
38HEAD20BODY0LEGS58 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the head (66% of attacks) — Sola absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Sola targets the head (79% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jones
RND
Sola
0/0R00/0

Jones · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.6L5.3W6.7L5.0W5.2W5.8W2021-012021-102022-072025-052025-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Sola · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0105.5W6.5L2025-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Jones · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Axel SolaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Bolaji OkiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10

Sola · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Mason JonesRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Rhys McKeeRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09

News & Media

Mason Jones · Axel Sola
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