UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz
New Orleans, USA
22 Sept 2000
Middleweight
VS
53%
Horn
47%
Jackson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:32
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Horn
This is a genuine toss-up — Horn at 53% vs Jackson at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Horn has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Horn's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jackson has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Horn
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'8"
74"
Reach
50+
Age
59
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Horn
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.9
16.5
48.1
Performance Avg
48.0
49
Quality of Victory
52
78
Momentum Score
26
Horn
Jackson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
34%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch1
2Ground1
Horn
Jackson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.7
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Horn
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
3
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/113 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Horn
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Horn
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Horn
Jackson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
HornJackson
Strike Zones
Horn
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedJackson
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Horn targets the body (100% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jackson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Horn absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Horn
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0
Horn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Horn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Sub · R1
Dean ListerRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · Sub · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8Submission
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2Submission
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie · 2006-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor PrangleyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11
Jackson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mark WeirRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 38: Brawl at the Hall · 2002-07
W · Sub · R2
Keith RockelRating 5.2Submission
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01
L · Sub · R1
Ricardo AlmeidaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 33: Victory in Vegas · 2001-09
L · Sub · R1
Jeremy HornRating 1.5Submission
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
L · Sub · R1
Sanae KikutaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 25: Ultimate Japan 3 · 2000-04