UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
Chicago, USA
25 Jan 2014
Lightweight
VS
51%
Cruickshank
49%
Rio
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:56
DC
Daron Cruickshank
"Detroit Superstar"
18 – 10
5'8"72" reachSwitch40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
MR
Mike Rio
"The Wolverine"
10 – 5
Submission Hunter3-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cruickshank

This is a genuine toss-up — Cruickshank at 51% vs Rio at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cruickshank has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cruickshank's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rio has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cruickshank
Rio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
72"+
Reach
70"
40+
Age
44
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Cruickshank
Rio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.9
15.2
44.5
Performance Avg
37.0
41
Quality of Victory
45
48
Momentum Score
36
Cruickshank
Rio
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.5
37%
Strike Accuracy
35%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
1
5
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance1
15Clinch0
1Ground0
Cruickshank
Rio
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cruickshank
Rio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Cruickshank
Rio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
36
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Cruickshank
Rio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cruickshank
Rio
Striking6.0 / 0.5Volume5.0 / 0.5Grappling1.2 / 8.0Wrestling0.8 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure5.0 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Cruickshank
Strike Zones
Rio
Cruickshank
Attacking
20HEAD5BODY3LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Rio
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD5BODY3LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cruickshank targets the head (71% of attacks) — Rio absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Rio targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cruickshank absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cruickshank
RND
Rio
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cruickshank · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W3.7L1.5L4.0L2012-062013-072014-052015-032016-01
WinLossTrend

Rio · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.0
0105.5W1.5L2.0L2.8L2012-122013-052013-102014-01
WinLossTrend

Cruickshank · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Paul FelderRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
James KrauseRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · Sub · R2
Beneil DariushRating 3.7
Submission
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
Upcoming
KJ Noons
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12
W · Dec · R3
Anthony NjokuaniRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

Rio · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Daron CruickshankRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2
Submission
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
L · Sub · R1
Francisco TrinaldoRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
W · Sub · R3
John CoferRating 5.5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12

News & Media

Daron Cruickshank · Mike Rio
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