METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
4 May 2024
Flyweight
VS
60%
Pantoja
40%
Erceg
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alexandre PantojawinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Steve Erceg · UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pantoja
→
Actual result
Pantoja wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Pantoja holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Erceg has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pantoja has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Erceg has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PantojaErceg
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pantoja
Erceg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+68"
36
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pantoja
Erceg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
40.1
60.2
Performance Avg
40.8
49
Quality of Victory
31
65
Momentum Score
45
Pantoja
Erceg
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
3.1
5.0
Style: Volume
7.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
12
4
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance13
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Pantoja
Erceg
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
3.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pantoja
Erceg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/36 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
Pantoja
Erceg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
45
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Pantoja
Erceg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
20%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pantoja
Erceg
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
PantojaErceg
Strike Zones
Pantoja
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedErceg
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pantoja targets the head (60% of attacks) — Erceg absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Erceg targets the head (92% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pantoja
RND
Erceg
0/0R00/0
Pantoja · Last 5
Upcoming
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UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
Erceg · Last 5
L · KO · R1
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