UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Los Angeles, USA
29 Dec 2018
Welterweight
VS
45%
Millender
55%
Bahadurzada
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CM
Curtis Millender
"Curtious"
17 – 5
6'2"76" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
SB
Siyar Bahadurzada
"The Great"
24 – 8
Knockout Artist2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bahadurzada

This is a genuine toss-up — Millender at 45% vs Bahadurzada at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Bahadurzada has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Millender has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Millender
Bahadurzada
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
73"
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Millender
Bahadurzada
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
22.4
45.0
Performance Avg
52.2
35
Quality of Victory
54
70
Momentum Score
78
Millender
Bahadurzada
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
17
3
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
31Distance13
4Clinch1
0Ground5
Millender
Bahadurzada
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Millender
Bahadurzada
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/22 fights
Chin rating based on
8/32 fights
Millender
Bahadurzada
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Millender
Bahadurzada
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Millender
Bahadurzada
Striking4.5 / 8.5Volume6.5 / 1.0Grappling1.6 / 2.0Wrestling1.1 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure4.1 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Millender
Strike Zones
Bahadurzada
Millender
Attacking
30HEAD3BODY2LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD2BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Bahadurzada
Attacking
17HEAD2BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD3BODY2LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Millender targets the head (86% of attacks) — Bahadurzada absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Bahadurzada targets the head (89% of attacks) — Millender absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Millender
RND
Bahadurzada
0/0R00/0

Millender · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W5.1W4.5W2.0L6.6L2018-022018-072018-122019-032019-04
WinLossTrend

Bahadurzada · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.5L5.5L5.5W5.2W5.2W5.5L6.0L2012-042013-122017-092018-122019-09
WinLossTrend

Millender · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
L · Sub · R1
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Siyar BahadurzadaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

Bahadurzada · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Curtis MillenderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R2
Luan ChagasRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Rob WilkinsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Sub · R3
Brandon ThatchRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03

News & Media

Curtis Millender · Siyar Bahadurzada
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