METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2017
Flyweight
VS
62%
Moraga
38%
Bibulatov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:38
★ Official Result
John MoragawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:38
def. Magomed Bibulatov · UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moraga
→
Actual result
Moraga wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Moraga holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Bibulatov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moraga has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Bibulatov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moraga's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoragaBibulatov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moraga
Bibulatov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
66"+
Reach
65"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraga
Bibulatov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
11.3
47.9
Performance Avg
28.3
42
Quality of Victory
25
64
Momentum Score
40
Moraga
Bibulatov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
57%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
1
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance4
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Moraga
Bibulatov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moraga
Bibulatov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Moraga
Bibulatov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Moraga
Bibulatov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moraga
Bibulatov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
MoragaBibulatov
Strike Zones
Moraga
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBibulatov
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraga targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Bibulatov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Bibulatov targets the head (40% of attacks) — Moraga absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moraga
RND
Bibulatov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Moraga · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Bibulatov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Moraga · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R1
Magomed BibulatovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ashkan MokhtarianRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
Bibulatov · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Rogerio BontorinRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
John MoragaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Jenel LausaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04