METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2017
Flyweight
VS
62%
Moraga
38%
Bibulatov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:38
★ Official Result
John MoragawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:38
def. Magomed Bibulatov · UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moraga
→
Actual result
Moraga wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Moraga holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Bibulatov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moraga has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Moraga's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoragaBibulatov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moraga
Bibulatov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
66"+
Reach
65"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraga
Bibulatov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
11.3
47.9
Performance Avg
28.3
42
Quality of Victory
25
64
Momentum Score
40
Moraga
Bibulatov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
6.1
Style: Pressure
1.0
4.1
Style: Volume
8.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
1
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance4
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Moraga
Bibulatov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moraga
Bibulatov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Moraga
Bibulatov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Moraga
Bibulatov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moraga
Bibulatov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
MoragaBibulatov
Strike Zones
Moraga
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBibulatov
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraga targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Bibulatov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Bibulatov targets the head (40% of attacks) — Moraga absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moraga
RND
Bibulatov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Moraga · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R1
Magomed BibulatovKO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ashkan MokhtarianDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
Bibulatov · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Rogerio BontorinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
John MoragaKO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Jenel LausaDecision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04