METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson
Las Vegas, USA
8 May 2021
Heavyweight
VS
31%
Greene
69%
Lima
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Marcos Rogerio de LimawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Maurice Greene · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lima
→
Actual result
Lima wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lima holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Greene has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Greene's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lima has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GreeneLima
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Greene
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'7"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
75"
40+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Greene
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
39.4
47.6
Performance Avg
53.8
46
Quality of Victory
49
53
Momentum Score
59
Greene
Lima
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
6.7
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
6.9
3.0
Style: Volume
3.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Greene
Lima
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Greene
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
16
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/16 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Greene
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Greene
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
73%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Greene
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
GreeneLima
Strike Zones
Greene
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedLima
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Greene targets the body (100% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Greene
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
Greene · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de LimaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · KO · R2
Greg HardyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · Sub · R3
Gian VillanteSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · Sub · R2
Aleksei OleinikSubmission
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
Lima · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Junior TafaKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei ArlovskiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05