Julian Erosa vs Charles Jourdain — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till

Las Vegas, USA

4 Sept 2021

Catch Weight

44%

Erosa

56%

Jourdain

Win Probability

Submission

Round 3 · 2:56

Julian Erosa

"Juicy J"

31 – 14

6'1"74" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 40

Charles Jourdain

"Air"

18 – 8

Well-Rounded3-fight win streak30 yrsSwitch69" reach5'9"

CFR 50

★ Official Result

Julian ErosawinsSubmissionR3 · 2:56

def. Charles Jourdain · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Jourdain

→

Actual result

Erosa wins

Submission · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Erosa at 44% vs Jourdain at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Erosa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jourdain has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

ErosaJourdain

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Erosa

Jourdain

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"+

Height

5'9"

74"+

Reach

69"

Age

+30

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

Erosa

Jourdain

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

39.6

50.4

46.2

Performance Avg

48.6

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Erosa

Jourdain

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.2

/ 10

3.4

/ 10

6.2

Style: Pressure

6.3

3.7

Style: Volume

3.8

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

9Distance8

8Clinch6

0Ground0

Erosa

Jourdain

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.4

/ 10

4.4

/ 10

3.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.0

4.4

Submission Style (/10)

4.4

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Erosa

Jourdain

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.4 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

4 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

18/45 fights

Chin rating based on

18/26 fights

Erosa

Jourdain

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

3-fight 🔥 win streak

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

W · Sub · R2

L · KO · R2

Erosa

Jourdain

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

67%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Erosa

Jourdain

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.4

4.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.4

3.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.0

4.4

Submission

Submission attack frequency

4.4

6.2

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.3

3.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.8

Erosa

Strike Zones

Jourdain

Erosa

Attacking

17 landed

Absorbing

14 absorbed

Jourdain

Attacking

14 landed

Absorbing

17 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Erosa targets the head (65% of attacks) — Jourdain absorbs 65% of strikes there

🎯Jourdain targets the head (64% of attacks) — Erosa absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Erosa

RND

Jourdain

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Erosa · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Lerryan Douglas

KO/TKO

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L · Dec · R3

Melquizael Costa

Decision

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W · KO · R1

Darren Elkins

KO/TKO

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W · Sub · R1

Christian Rodriguez

Submission

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W · Sub · R1

Ricardo Ramos

Submission

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Jourdain · Last 5

Upcoming

Marlon Vera

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09

W · Dec · R3

Kyler Phillips

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04

W · Sub · R1

Davey Grant

Submission

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W · Sub · R2

Victor Henry

Submission

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L · KO · R2

Jean Silva

KO/TKO

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News & Media

Julian Erosa · Charles Jourdain

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