UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn
Phoenix, USA
15 Jan 2017
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Harris
50%
Sherman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:41
WH
Walt Harris
"The Big Ticket"
13 – 10
6'5"77" reachSouthpaw42 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 30
Chase
Chase Sherman
"The Vanilla Gorilla"
16 – 12
Striker2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 30

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Harris

This is a genuine toss-up — Harris at 50% vs Sherman at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Harris has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Sherman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Harris's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sherman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Harris
Sherman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'4"
77"
Reach
+78"
42
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Harris
Sherman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.6
30.1
51.0
Performance Avg
38.4
58
Quality of Victory
46
65
Momentum Score
46
Harris
Sherman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
50%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
4
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
15Distance7
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Harris
Sherman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Harris
Sherman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Harris
Sherman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
46
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Harris
Sherman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Harris
Sherman
Striking10.0 / 8.0Volume0.8 / 2.5Grappling0.0 / 0.6Wrestling0.0 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.2 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
Harris
Strike Zones
Sherman
Harris
Attacking
13HEAD4BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Sherman
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD4BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Harris targets the head (72% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Sherman targets the head (43% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Harris
RND
Sherman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Harris · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.5L2.7L2.8L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.0W1.5L4.0L5.2W5.5W5.0W2.1L4.0L1.9L2013-112016-102017-112020-052021-06
WinLossTrend

Sherman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L2.8L5.2W4.5W1.5L5.5L4.2L5.2W6.2L5.5L1.5L2.3L5.5W7.0L6.0L2016-082017-112021-042022-072023-05
WinLossTrend

Harris · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Alistair OvereemRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05

Sherman · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · KO · R3
Jared VanderaaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · Sub · R1
Jake CollierRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Walt Harris · Chase Sherman
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