UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos
Minneapolis, USA
29 Jun 2019
Lightweight
VS
95%
Gordon
5%
Moret
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gordon
Gordon is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gordon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
Gordon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gordon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gordon
Moret
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
68"
Reach
+73"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Gordon
Moret
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.1
2.1
42.8
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
63
Momentum Score
0
Gordon
Moret
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
0.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch1
2Ground1
Gordon
Moret
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gordon
Moret
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Gordon
Moret
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Gordon
Moret
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gordon
Moret
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GordonMoret
Strike Zones
Gordon
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMoret
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gordon targets the head (75% of attacks) — Moret absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Moret targets the body (67% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gordon
RND
Moret
0/0R00/0
Gordon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Moret · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Gordon · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
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L · KO · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Mark MadsenRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Moret · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Gilbert BurnsRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04