UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
Macau, China
1 Mar 2014
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Phan
57%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
NP
Nam Phan
21 – 17
5'6"70" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 11
VL
Vaughan Lee
14 – 13
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lee

This is a genuine toss-up — Phan at 43% vs Lee at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Phan throws more volume but Lee connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Lee has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Phan
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
66"
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Phan
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.6
13.9
25.0
Performance Avg
35.8
25
Quality of Victory
35
35
Momentum Score
51
Phan
Lee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.5
39%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
25
1
Body
18
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
6Distance48
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Phan
Lee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Phan
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/38 fights
Chin rating based on
8/27 fights
Phan
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
51
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Phan
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Phan
Lee
Striking0.5 / 0.8Volume8.5 / 6.1Grappling2.4 / 4.3Wrestling1.7 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure0.8 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Phan
Strike Zones
Lee
Phan
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD18BODY6LEGS49 absorbed
Lee
Attacking
25HEAD18BODY6LEGS49 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Phan targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (51% of attacks) — Phan absorbs 51% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Phan
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0

Phan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L5.5L2010-122011-102012-082013-122014-03
WinLossTrend

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.5L5.0W1.6L4.5W2.8L4.5W1.5L5.5L2011-112012-072013-062014-052015-07
WinLossTrend

Phan · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Vaughan LeeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · Dec · R3
Cole MillerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Dec · R3
Jimy HettesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12

Lee · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Paddy HolohanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Sub · R2
Raphael AssuncaoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Dec · R3
Motonobu TezukaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02

News & Media

Nam Phan · Vaughan Lee
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