UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
Las Vegas, USA
26 May 2012
Lightweight
VS
40%
Volkmann
60%
Sass
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sass
Sass holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Volkmann has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sass has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Striking split: Sass throws more volume but Volkmann connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Volkmann's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Volkmann
Sass
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+73"
45
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Volkmann
Sass
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
24.0
41.9
Performance Avg
56.4
30
Quality of Victory
54
70
Momentum Score
91
Volkmann
Sass
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.6
37%
Strike Accuracy
29%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Volkmann
Sass
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Volkmann
Sass
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/26 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Volkmann
Sass
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
91
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Volkmann
Sass
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkmann
Sass
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
VolkmannSass
Strike Zones
Volkmann
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSass
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkmann targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sass absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Sass targets the head (100% of attacks) — Volkmann absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkmann
RND
Sass
0/0R00/0
Volkmann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Sass · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Volkmann · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
King GreenRating 4.7Submission
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Shane RollerRating 5Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Sub · R1
Paul SassRating 1.5Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
Sass · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Matt WimanRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · Sub · R1
Jacob VolkmannRating 5Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Michael JohnsonRating 5.1Submission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
W · Sub · R1
Mark HolstRating 5Submission
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10