METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Raleigh, USA
25 Jan 2020
Middleweight
VS
85%
Lewis
15%
Townsend
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Bevon LewiswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dequan Townsend · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lewis
→
Actual result
Lewis wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lewis is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
Lewis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Lewis's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Townsend has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LewisTownsend
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lewis
Townsend
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"
Reach
79"
35+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lewis
Townsend
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.4
1.5
25.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
17
Momentum Score
0
Lewis
Townsend
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
8.5
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance4
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Lewis
Townsend
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lewis
Townsend
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
4/33 fights
Lewis
Townsend
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Lewis
Townsend
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lewis
Townsend
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LewisTownsend
Strike Zones
Lewis
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTownsend
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (50% of attacks) — Townsend absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Townsend targets the body (67% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lewis
RND
Townsend
0/0R00/0
Lewis · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Trevin GilesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Dequan TownsendDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren StewartDecision
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · KO · R3
Uriah HallKO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
Townsend · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Dusko TodorovicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkDecision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Bevon LewisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R3
Dalcha LungiambulaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06