METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Raleigh, USA
25 Jan 2020
Middleweight
VS
85%
Lewis
15%
Townsend
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Bevon LewiswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dequan Townsend · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lewis
→
Actual result
Lewis wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lewis is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
Lewis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Lewis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lewis's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Townsend has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LewisTownsend
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lewis
Townsend
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"
Reach
79"
35+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lewis
Townsend
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.4
1.5
25.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
17
Momentum Score
0
Lewis
Townsend
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
0.2
28%
Strike Accuracy
24%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance4
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Lewis
Townsend
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lewis
Townsend
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
4/33 fights
Lewis
Townsend
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Lewis
Townsend
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lewis
Townsend
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LewisTownsend
Strike Zones
Lewis
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTownsend
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (50% of attacks) — Townsend absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Townsend targets the body (67% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lewis
RND
Townsend
0/0R00/0
Lewis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Townsend · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Lewis · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Trevin GilesRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Dequan TownsendRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren StewartRating 5.5Decision
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · KO · R3
Uriah HallRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
Townsend · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Dusko TodorovicRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Bevon LewisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R3
Dalcha LungiambulaRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06