UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Salt Lake City, USA
6 Aug 2016
Heavyweight
VS
17%
Pesta
83%
Tybura
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:53
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tybura
Tybura is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tybura has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Tybura has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pesta's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tybura has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pesta
Tybura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
35+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pesta
Tybura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.6
42.5
23.0
Performance Avg
45.2
25
Quality of Victory
37
30
Momentum Score
58
Pesta
Tybura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
1.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
53%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pesta
Tybura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pesta
Tybura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/14 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Pesta
Tybura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
58
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Pesta
Tybura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
36%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pesta
Tybura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
0.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
PestaTybura
Strike Zones
Pesta
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTybura
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tybura targets the head (50% of attacks) — Pesta absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pesta
RND
Tybura
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pesta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Tybura · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Pesta · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R2
Marcin TyburaRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
L · KO · R3
Derrick LewisRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Konstantin ErokhinRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Ruslan MagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8Decision
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L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 5.1UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2Submission
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