UFC 61: Bitter Rivals
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2006
Lightweight
VS
50%
Stevenson
50%
Edwards
Win Probability
JS
Joe Stevenson
"Daddy"
3316
5'7"70" reachOrthodox43 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
YE
Yves Edwards
4222
Well-Rounded4-fight slide49 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'9"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Stevenson

This is a genuine toss-up — Stevenson at 50% vs Edwards at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Edwards has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Stevenson's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Edwards has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Stevenson
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+73"
43+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Stevenson
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
19.3
49.2
Performance Avg
47.6
49
Quality of Victory
46
86
Momentum Score
85
Stevenson
Edwards
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
6
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance8
1Clinch0
17Ground0
Stevenson
Edwards
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stevenson
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
16/49 fights
Chin rating based on
21/64 fights
Stevenson
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
86
85
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Stevenson
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stevenson
Edwards
Striking2.3 / 6.0Volume4.0 / 3.4Grappling3.9 / 2.3Wrestling2.7 / 1.6Submission3.8 / 2.0Pressure5.0 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Stevenson
Strike Zones
Edwards
Stevenson
Attacking
20HEAD0BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Edwards
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD0BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stevenson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the head (75% of attacks) — Stevenson absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stevenson
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Stevenson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.5L4.2W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.1L5.2W1.5L5.5L4.5W5.2W5.5L1.5L5.5L5.5L2005-112007-042008-112010-022011-06
WinLossTrend

Edwards · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W2.8L4.8L4.5W5.2W1.5L5.2W6.0L5.5W5.5L5.5L4.0L1.5L2001-092003-112010-092012-122014-11
WinLossTrend

Stevenson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Javier VazquezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Mac DanzigRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10

Edwards · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Akbarh ArreolaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Sub · R3
Piotr HallmannRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Yancy Medeiros
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Daron CruickshankRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02

News & Media

Joe Stevenson · Yves Edwards
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