UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado
Sao Paulo, Brazil
31 May 2014
Lightweight
VS
63%
Silverio
37%
Chavez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:21
ES
Elias Silverio
"Xuxu"
13 – 3
5'11"73" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
EC
Ernest Chavez
"EJ"
10 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silverio

Silverio holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Chavez has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Chavez throws more volume but Silverio connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Chavez has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Silverio
Chavez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
70"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silverio
Chavez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
10.0
43.0
Performance Avg
28.3
32
Quality of Victory
25
71
Momentum Score
27
Silverio
Chavez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
37%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
5
2
Body
2
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
16Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Silverio
Chavez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silverio
Chavez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Silverio
Chavez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
27
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Silverio
Chavez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silverio
Chavez
Striking1.2 / 0.7Volume6.5 / 8.7Grappling4.3 / 2.4Wrestling3.0 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Silverio
Strike Zones
Chavez
Silverio
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY3LEGS10 absorbed
Chavez
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY3LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silverio targets the head (75% of attacks) — Chavez absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Chavez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Silverio absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silverio
RND
Chavez
0/0R00/0

Silverio · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W4.5W5.5W4.0L5.5L2013-092014-012014-052014-122015-08
WinLossTrend

Chavez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0104.5W4.0L2.0L2014-022014-052014-10
WinLossTrend

Silverio · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Shane CampbellRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R3
Rashid MagomedovRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
W · Sub · R3
Ernest ChavezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
W · Dec · R3
Joao ZeferinoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09

Chavez · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Zubaira TukhugovRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
L · Sub · R3
Elias SilverioRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Yosdenis CedenoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02

News & Media

Elias Silverio · Ernest Chavez
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