UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
Las Vegas, USA
4 Dec 2021
Welterweight
VS
91%
Barberena
9%
Weeks
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barberena
Barberena is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barberena has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Barberena has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Barberena's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barberena
Weeks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
72"
37
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Barberena
Weeks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.3
4.1
43.9
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
76
Momentum Score
0
Barberena
Weeks
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.7
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
29
20
Body
11
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
50Distance40
5Clinch3
0Ground0
Barberena
Weeks
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barberena
Weeks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
3/8 fights
Barberena
Weeks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Barberena
Weeks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barberena
Weeks
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BarberenaWeeks
Strike Zones
Barberena
Attacking
55 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedWeeks
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
55 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barberena targets the head (56% of attacks) — Weeks absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Weeks targets the head (67% of attacks) — Barberena absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barberena
RND
Weeks
0/0R00/0
Barberena · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Weeks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.1WinLossTrend
Barberena · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonRating 2.6Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Robbie LawlerRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
Weeks · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Yohan LainesseRating 5.5Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12