METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
Seattle, USA
8 Dec 2012
Welterweight
VS
35%
Swick
65%
Brown
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:31
★ Official Result
Matt BrownwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:31
def. Mike Swick · UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Brown wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Brown holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Swick has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Swick's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SwickBrown
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Swick
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
75"
47
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swick
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.6
42.5
55.0
Performance Avg
54.0
47
Quality of Victory
52
100
Momentum Score
78
Swick
Brown
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.3
/ 10
8.8
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
7.9
3.7
Style: Volume
2.1
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
13 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
9
0
Body
9
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance6
3Clinch10
0Ground2
Swick
Brown
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.2
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Swick
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
30/45 fights
Swick
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Swick
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
88%
5
KO / TKO Wins
13
2
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swick
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.2
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
SwickBrown
Strike Zones
Swick
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedBrown
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swick targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (50% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swick
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
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