METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
Seattle, USA
8 Dec 2012
Welterweight
VS
35%
Swick
65%
Brown
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:31
★ Official Result
Matt BrownwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:31
def. Mike Swick · UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Brown wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Brown holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Swick has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Swick's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SwickBrown
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Swick
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
75"
47
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swick
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.6
42.5
55.0
Performance Avg
54.0
47
Quality of Victory
52
100
Momentum Score
78
Swick
Brown
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.5
36%
Strike Accuracy
60%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
13 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
9
0
Body
9
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance6
3Clinch10
0Ground2
Swick
Brown
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swick
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
30/45 fights
Swick
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Swick
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
88%
5
KO / TKO Wins
13
2
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swick
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.2
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
SwickBrown
Strike Zones
Swick
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedBrown
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swick targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (50% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swick
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Swick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Swick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
Paulo ThiagoRating 2.8Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Brown · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Court McGeeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R2
Dhiego LimaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · KO · R2
Miguel BaezaRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05