UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Las Vegas, USA
10 Feb 2024
Middleweight
VS
42%
Hermansson
58%
Pyfer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pyfer
This is a genuine toss-up — Hermansson at 42% vs Pyfer at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pyfer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Hermansson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hermansson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hermansson
Pyfer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"+
Reach
75"
37
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hermansson
Pyfer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
75.7
48.1
Performance Avg
66.6
42
Quality of Victory
53
97
Momentum Score
100
Hermansson
Pyfer
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
3
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance4
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Hermansson
Pyfer
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hermansson
Pyfer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/34 fights
Chin rating based on
8/19 fights
Hermansson
Pyfer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Hermansson
Pyfer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
86%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hermansson
Pyfer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.6
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
HermanssonPyfer
Strike Zones
Hermansson
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedPyfer
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hermansson targets the head (88% of attacks) — Pyfer absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Pyfer targets the head (75% of attacks) — Hermansson absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hermansson
RND
Pyfer
0/0R00/0
Hermansson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Pyfer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Hermansson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Roman DolidzeRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
Pyfer · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Abus MagomedovRating 6Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 4.8Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Jack HermanssonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

