METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield
Las Vegas, USA
18 Feb 2023
Flyweight
VS
94%
Carpenter
6%
Ronderos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:13
★ Official Result
Clayton CarpenterwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:13
def. Juancamilo Ronderos · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Carpenter
→
Actual result
Carpenter wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Carpenter is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Carpenter has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 52 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CarpenterRonderos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Carpenter
Ronderos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'3"
66"+
Reach
64"
30+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Carpenter
Ronderos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.6
3.3
47.0
Performance Avg
0.0
52
Quality of Victory
0
39
Momentum Score
0
Carpenter
Ronderos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.8
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Carpenter
Ronderos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Carpenter
Ronderos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/11 fights
Chin rating based on
2/6 fights
Carpenter
Ronderos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Carpenter
Ronderos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Carpenter
Ronderos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CarpenterRonderos
Strike Zones
Carpenter
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedRonderos
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Carpenter targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ronderos absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Ronderos targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Carpenter absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Carpenter
RND
Ronderos
0/0R00/0
Carpenter · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jose OchoaDecision
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Jafel FilhoSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Tagir UlanbekovDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R2
Lucas RochaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R1
Juancamilo RonderosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
Ronderos · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Clayton CarpenterSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · Sub · R1
David DvorakSubmission
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