UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Jul 2020
Welterweight
VS
94%
Dalby
6%
Ronson
Win Probability
Nicolas
Nicolas Dalby
"Lokomotivo"
246
5'11"74" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 41
JR
Jesse Ronson
"The Body Snatcher"
2112
Well-Rounded5-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dalby

Dalby is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Dalby has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Striking split: Dalby throws more volume but Ronson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Ronson has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dalby
Ronson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
70"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Dalby
Ronson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
2.6
41.9
Performance Avg
0.0
29
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Dalby
Ronson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
22
8
Body
1
2
Leg
7
RangeRange
17Distance21
3Clinch2
0Ground7
Dalby
Ronson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dalby
Ronson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
15/30 fights
Chin rating based on
6/33 fights
Dalby
Ronson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dalby
Ronson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dalby
Ronson
Striking2.5 / 0.0Volume8.2 / 0.0Grappling2.1 / 0.0Wrestling1.5 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Dalby
Strike Zones
Ronson
Dalby
Attacking
10HEAD8BODY2LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD1BODY7LEGS30 absorbed
Ronson
Attacking
22HEAD1BODY7LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD8BODY2LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dalby targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ronson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ronson targets the head (73% of attacks) — Dalby absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dalby
RND
Ronson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Dalby · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.9L5.5L4.5W5.4W5.6L4.5W4.7W5.5W7.0W7.1L3.6L4.5W2015-052020-112023-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Ronson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.5L5.5L3.5L3.4L2013-092014-022014-072022-042022-10
WinLossTrend

Dalby · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Saygid IzagakhmaevRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Randy BrownRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Ronson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Joaquim SilvaRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Rafa GarciaRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
Upcoming
Nicolas Dalby
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Kevin LeeRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02

News & Media

Nicolas Dalby · Jesse Ronson
← Back to fights