UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie
Greenville, USA
22 Jun 2019
Welterweight
VS
45%
Barberena
55%
Brown
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brown
This is a genuine toss-up — Barberena at 45% vs Brown at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barberena has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Barberena's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Barberena
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+78"
37
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Barberena
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.3
52.9
43.9
Performance Avg
48.7
42
Quality of Victory
39
76
Momentum Score
92
Barberena
Brown
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.7
1.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
25
0
Body
11
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance28
1Clinch10
0Ground0
Barberena
Brown
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barberena
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
4
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
22/28 fights
Barberena
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
92
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Barberena
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barberena
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.1
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
BarberenaBrown
Strike Zones
Barberena
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedBrown
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barberena targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (66% of attacks) — Barberena absorbs 66% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barberena
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Barberena · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Barberena · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
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