UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
Cleveland, USA
10 Sept 2016
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Werdum
50%
Browne
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
FW
Fabricio Werdum
"Vai Cavalo"
24 – 9
6'4"77" reachOrthodox48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
TB
Travis Browne
"Hapa"
18 – 7
Knockout Artist4-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'6"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Werdum

This is a genuine toss-up — Werdum at 50% vs Browne at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Browne throws more volume but Werdum connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Werdum's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Browne has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Werdum
Browne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'6"
77"
Reach
+79"
48
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Werdum
Browne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
20.1
57.8
Performance Avg
55.1
52
Quality of Victory
54
72
Momentum Score
78
Werdum
Browne
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.8
53%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
12
8
Body
1
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
26Distance14
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Werdum
Browne
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Werdum
Browne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/33 fights
Chin rating based on
17/25 fights
Werdum
Browne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
78
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Werdum
Browne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
89%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
4
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Werdum
Browne
Striking4.7 / 8.9Volume4.0 / 2.0Grappling3.5 / 1.2Wrestling2.4 / 0.8Submission3.3 / 1.1Pressure6.7 / 7.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.9
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
Werdum
Strike Zones
Browne
Werdum
Attacking
12HEAD8BODY8LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Browne
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD8BODY8LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Werdum targets the head (43% of attacks) — Browne absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Browne targets the head (86% of attacks) — Werdum absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Werdum
RND
Browne
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Werdum · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.2L5.2W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.1W4.5W5.1W5.2W2.6L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.9W4.6L5.5L5.0W2007-042012-062016-052018-032020-07
WinLossTrend

Browne · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.0W2.2L5.5W1.5L5.5L3.3L2.8L2010-062012-102014-042016-072017-07
WinLossTrend

Werdum · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R4
Alexander VolkovRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Marcin TyburaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
W · Sub · R1
Walt HarrisRating 5
Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10

Browne · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Aleksei OleinikRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Fabricio WerdumRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Matt MitrioneRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01

News & Media

Fabricio Werdum · Travis Browne
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