The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2013
Middleweight
VS
9%
Marunde
91%
Hester
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:53
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hester
Hester is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hester has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Hester has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Marunde's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hester has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Marunde
Hester
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+77"
44
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marunde
Hester
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.6
15.3
0.0
Performance Avg
42.0
0
Quality of Victory
32
0
Momentum Score
61
Marunde
Hester
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.7
11%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
20
0
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance13
1Clinch5
0Ground5
Marunde
Hester
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marunde
Hester
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
44
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Marunde
Hester
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
61
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Marunde
Hester
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Marunde
Hester
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
MarundeHester
Strike Zones
Marunde
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedHester
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Marunde targets the head (80% of attacks) — Hester absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Hester targets the head (87% of attacks) — Marunde absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Marunde
RND
Hester
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Marunde · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Hester · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Marunde · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Viscardi AndradeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
L · KO · R3
Clint HesterRating 4KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04
Hester · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · KO · R2
Vitor MirandaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Antonio Braga NetoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Andy EnzRating 4.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02