UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2012
Welterweight
VS
4%
Stittgen
96%
Thompson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:13
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Thompson
Thompson is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Thompson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Striking split: Stittgen throws more volume but Thompson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Thompson has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Stittgen
Thompson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
Reach
75"
45
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stittgen
Thompson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
46.3
0.0
Performance Avg
48.9
0
Quality of Victory
43
0
Momentum Score
45
Stittgen
Thompson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.7
43%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
1
Body
7
7
Leg
6
RangeRange
8Distance20
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Stittgen
Thompson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stittgen
Thompson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
32
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/17 fights
Chin rating based on
22/26 fights
Stittgen
Thompson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R3
Stittgen
Thompson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stittgen
Thompson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
StittgenThompson
Strike Zones
Stittgen
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedThompson
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stittgen targets the legs (88% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Thompson targets the head (41% of attacks) — Stittgen absorbs 41% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stittgen
RND
Thompson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Stittgen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Thompson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Stittgen · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Marcelo GuimaraesRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Stephen ThompsonRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
Thompson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BonfimRating 7.2Decision
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L · KO · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.2KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · KO · R4
Kevin HollandRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
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