UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jul 2024
Bantamweight
VS
51%
Kelleher
49%
Gibson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:58
Brian
Brian Kelleher
"Boom"
24 – 16
5'6"66" reachSwitch39 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Cody
Cody Gibson
"The Renegade"
22 – 12
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 40

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kelleher

This is a genuine toss-up — Kelleher at 51% vs Gibson at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Kelleher throws more volume but Gibson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Kelleher's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gibson has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Kelleher
Gibson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
66"
Reach
+71"
39
Age
+38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Kelleher
Gibson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.8
39.9
44.5
Performance Avg
39.8
43
Quality of Victory
46
61
Momentum Score
25
Kelleher
Gibson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
0
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance10
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Kelleher
Gibson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kelleher
Gibson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/40 fights
Chin rating based on
10/34 fights
Kelleher
Gibson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
25
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Kelleher
Gibson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kelleher
Gibson
Striking3.4 / 3.9Volume3.9 / 3.3Grappling3.9 / 3.5Wrestling2.7 / 2.4Submission3.8 / 3.3Pressure5.8 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Kelleher
Strike Zones
Gibson
Kelleher
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Gibson
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kelleher targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Gibson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gibson targets the head (69% of attacks) — Kelleher absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kelleher
RND
Gibson
0/0R00/0

Kelleher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W2.3L5.5W4.5W4.0L2.4L5.8W5.2W5.5L5.0W6.2L4.5W4.5W2.8L2.6L2.6L1.7L2017-062018-122021-022023-122024-07
WinLossTrend

Gibson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.5L5.0W2.8L5.7L5.9L5.5L5.3W4.9W3.8L2.3L2014-022015-022024-072025-10
WinLossTrend

Kelleher · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Cody GibsonRating 1.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · Sub · R1
Umar NurmagomedovRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin CroomRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

Gibson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
AoriqilengRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Chad AnheligerRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Brian Kelleher · Cody Gibson
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