METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jul 2024
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Kelleher
48%
Gibson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:58
★ Official Result
Cody GibsonwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:58
def. Brian Kelleher · UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kelleher
→
Actual result
Gibson wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kelleher at 52% vs Gibson at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Kelleher's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gibson has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KelleherGibson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kelleher
Gibson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
66"
Reach
+71"
40
Age
+38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Kelleher
Gibson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.8
38.3
44.5
Performance Avg
38.7
43
Quality of Victory
46
61
Momentum Score
25
Kelleher
Gibson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
5.5
3.9
Style: Volume
3.2
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
0
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance10
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Kelleher
Gibson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kelleher
Gibson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
34
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/40 fights
Chin rating based on
11/34 fights
Kelleher
Gibson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
25
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Kelleher
Gibson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kelleher
Gibson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
KelleherGibson
Strike Zones
Kelleher
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedGibson
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kelleher targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Gibson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gibson targets the head (69% of attacks) — Kelleher absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kelleher
RND
Gibson
0/0R00/0
Kelleher · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Cody GibsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · Sub · R1
Umar NurmagomedovSubmission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin CroomDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Gibson · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Abdul HusseinSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
AoriqilengKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Da'Mon BlackshearSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Chad AnheligerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07