UFC 28: High Stakes
Atlantic City, USA
17 Nov 2000
Heavyweight
VS
42%
Sobral
58%
Smith
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RS
Renato Sobral
"Babalu"
37 – 11
6'1"75" reachOrthodox50 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 15
MS
Maurice Smith
12 – 14
Well-Rounded64 yrsOrthodox6'2"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Smith

This is a genuine toss-up — Sobral at 42% vs Smith at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Smith has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sobral's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sobral
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
50+
Age
64
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sobral
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
21.2
49.2
Performance Avg
53.4
42
Quality of Victory
51
26
Momentum Score
76
Sobral
Smith
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.8
55%
Strike Accuracy
75%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sobral
Smith
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sobral
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/48 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Sobral
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
76
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R2
L · Dec · R3
Sobral
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sobral
Smith
Striking1.2 / 3.6Volume3.9 / 5.1Grappling6.1 / 3.2Wrestling4.3 / 2.2Submission6.7 / 2.5Pressure6.5 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Sobral
Strike Zones
Smith
Sobral
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Smith
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sobral targets the head (50% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Sobral absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sobral
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0

Sobral · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0104.5W5.5L4.5W1.5L5.2W5.2W5.0W1.5L2.8L5.2W2000-112002-112006-022007-08
WinLossTrend

Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.0W5.5L4.8L5.0W4.5W5.5L1997-071997-121999-072000-11
WinLossTrend

Sobral · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
David HeathRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
L · KO · R2
Jason LambertRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
L · KO · R1
Chuck LiddellRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08
W · Sub · R1
Mike van ArsdaleRating 5
Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10

Smith · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Renato SobralRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 28: High Stakes · 2000-11
W · Dec · R3
Bobby HoffmanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
W · KO · R1
Marco RuasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07
L · Dec · R2
Kevin RandlemanRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 19: Ultimate Young Guns · 1999-03
L · Dec · R3
Randy CoutureRating 5.5
Decision
UFC - Ultimate Japan · 1997-12

News & Media

Renato Sobral · Maurice Smith
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