UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Detroit, USA
2 Dec 2017
Heavyweight
VS
64%
Willis
36%
Crowder
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:33
JW
Justin Willis
"Big Pretty"
8 – 2
6'1"78" reachSouthpaw38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
AC
Allen Crowder
"Pretty Boy"
10 – 4
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Willis

Willis holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Crowder has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Crowder throws more volume but Willis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Crowder has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Willis
Crowder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
78"+
Reach
76"
38
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Willis
Crowder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
11.3
52.2
Performance Avg
29.8
34
Quality of Victory
28
83
Momentum Score
43
Willis
Crowder
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
38%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
6
1
Body
1
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
14Distance13
6Clinch2
2Ground0
Willis
Crowder
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Willis
Crowder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/10 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Willis
Crowder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
43
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · R2
L · KO · R1
Willis
Crowder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Willis
Crowder
Striking4.1 / 0.7Volume7.6 / 0.7Grappling1.8 / 0.0Wrestling1.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Willis
Strike Zones
Crowder
Willis
Attacking
21HEAD1BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY8LEGS15 absorbed
Crowder
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY8LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD1BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Willis targets the head (95% of attacks) — Crowder absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Crowder targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Willis absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Willis
RND
Crowder
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Willis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4L2017-072017-122018-042018-122019-03
WinLossTrend

Crowder · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.8
0101.5L4.2W2.6L2017-122019-012019-06
WinLossTrend

Willis · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Mark HuntRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Chase ShermanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · KO · R1
Allen CrowderRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12
W · Dec · R3
James MulheronRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07

Crowder · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · R2
Greg HardyRating 4.2
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · KO · R1
Justin WillisRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12

News & Media

Justin Willis · Allen Crowder
← Back to fights