METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
New York City, USA
16 Nov 2024
Women's Flyweight
VS
45%
Hardy
55%
Moura
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Eduarda MourawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Veronica Hardy · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moura
→
Actual result
Moura wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hardy at 45% vs Moura at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Moura throws more volume but Hardy connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hardy's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HardyMoura
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hardy
Moura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+67"
30+
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hardy
Moura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
51.1
38.5
Performance Avg
45.0
31
Quality of Victory
35
55
Momentum Score
64
Hardy
Moura
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
36%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
8
6
Body
1
9
Leg
0
RangeRange
21Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hardy
Moura
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hardy
Moura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Hardy
Moura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
64
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Hardy
Moura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hardy
Moura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
HardyMoura
Strike Zones
Hardy
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedMoura
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Moura absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Moura targets the head (89% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hardy
RND
Moura
0/0R00/0
Hardy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Moura · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Hardy · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brogan WalkerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 6.3Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Juliana MillerRating 4.7Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Moura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Wang CongRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Veronica HardyRating 4.8Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Montserrat Conejo RuizRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11